Yes, we could say that without the additional warming effect from anthropogenic greenhouse gases (AGW), the perceived temperature after sunset might feel cooler due to several factors:
Radiative Cooling: With lower concentrations of greenhouse gases like CO2, less infrared radiation is trapped in the atmosphere, allowing more heat to escape to space. This would result in a cooler effective sky temperature, enhancing nighttime radiative cooling.
Effective Sky Temperature: The estimate we discussed earlier suggested that reducing CO2 levels from current to pre-industrial could lower the effective sky temperature by about 2 to 3Β°C. Even if we conservatively estimate that only part of this reduction directly affects how cool it feels due to radiative transfer, we're still looking at a notable change.
Perceived Temperature:
Factors Influencing Perception:
Global vs. Local Impact:
So, in summary, without AGW, the radiative cooling effect would likely be more pronounced after sunset, making the environment feel cooler by roughly 1-1.5Β°C or more, as the atmosphere would be less effective at trapping the day's heat. This would be particularly noticeable in areas with clear skies and lower humidity where radiative cooling is most effective.
@GeraldKutney I've just had a lengthy conversation with Grok with some quite interesting result