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Feel the sorrow, feel the pain, that you are causing once again.

Reverse the torment you create, and turn on you a crueler fate.

All your cruelty, spite and hate, shall be your own decided fate.

All ill-will you send our way, shall return, three times three. https://x.com/R34lB0rg/status/1864001550475223109/photo/1

Watch the moment when the Zionist army kidnapped 5 Palestinian doctors from a hospital in Tubas (West Bank), imitating in the West Bank the same crimes they are perpetrating in the Gaza Strip.

"Israel" can kidnap, torture and murder Palestinian doctors on a daily basis with total impunity and it is not even reported in the media.

Can we please stop calling what is going on in Gaza a war? A war is when trained, armed and uniformed combatants fights each other. When trained and armed soldiers murder defenseless civilians, that's a war crime and in this case, more specific, a genocide.

رأيت المدينة المقدسة، القدس الجديدة، تنزل من السماء من عند الله، معدة كعروس مزينة لزوجها. وسمعت صوتاً عظيماً من العرش يقول: "انظروا! مسكن الله الآن مع الناس، وسيسكن معهم. سيكونون شعبه، والله نفسه سيكون معهم وسيكون إلههم. سيمسح كل دمعة من أعينهم. لن يكون هناك موت أو حداد أو بكاء أو ألم بعد الآن، لأن النظام القديم للأشياء قد مضى. -- رؤيا 21:2-4

I saw the Holy City, the new Jerusalem, coming down out of heaven from God, prepared as a bride beautifully dressed for her husband. And I heard a loud voice from the throne saying, "Look! God’s dwelling place is now among the people, and he will dwell with them. They will be his people, and God himself will be with them and be their God. He will wipe every tear from their eyes. There will be no more death or mourning or crying or pain, for the old order of things has passed away." --Revelation 21:2-4

A ceasefire deal with Israel is not worth the paper it's written on. https://x.com/R34lB0rg/status/1863759875429355721

It's always the same:

  1. 1948 Ceasefire Agreements (Armistice Agreements with Egypt, Lebanon, Jordan, and Syria):

    • Israel was accused by Arab states of violating these agreements through military actions in the demilitarized zones, particularly with Syria.
  2. 1967 Ceasefire after the Six-Day War:

    • Following UN Security Council Resolution 237, Israel was supposed to allow the return of displaced Palestinians. There have been claims of non-compliance regarding the return of refugees.
  3. 1973 Ceasefire (Yom Kippur War):

    • Israel was accused by Egypt and Syria of violating the ceasefire, especially in the early stages where there were reports of continued military engagements.
  4. 1982 Lebanon War Ceasefires:

    • Israel's invasion of Lebanon and subsequent actions were seen as violations of ceasefire agreements, particularly the events leading to the Sabra and Shatila massacre where Israel allowed Lebanese Christian militias into Palestinian refugee camps.
  5. 1993 Oslo Accords:

    • While not a ceasefire per se, the Oslo Accords aimed at peace. Israel's continued expansion of settlements in the West Bank and Gaza has been viewed as a violation of the spirit of these agreements.
  6. 2002 Ceasefire with the Palestinian Authority:

    • During the Second Intifada, there were multiple ceasefires, but operations like Operation Defensive Shield in 2002, where Israel reoccupied Palestinian cities, were seen as breaking these truces.
  7. 2008-2009 Gaza Ceasefire (following Operation Cast Lead):

    • Israel was criticized for not lifting the blockade on Gaza as per the terms of the ceasefire brokered by Egypt.
  8. 2012 Ceasefire brokered by Egypt after Operation Pillar of Defense:

    • Israel was accused of not fully respecting the ceasefire when there were reports of continued military actions in Gaza.
  9. 2014 Ceasefire during Operation Protective Edge:

    • Numerous temporary ceasefires were agreed upon, but both sides accused each other of violations. However, Israel's military operations, including the targeting of tunnels and alleged civilian areas, were seen by some as breaking these truces.
  10. 2021 Ceasefire after Operation Guardian of the Walls:

    • Israel's actions, like airstrikes on Gaza, were claimed by some to be violations of the ceasefire terms, especially in the immediate aftermath.
  11. November 2023 Temporary Ceasefire with Hamas:

    • Israel was accused by Hamas and some international observers of violating the ceasefire by flying drones and other surveillance activities, which were supposed to be restricted under the truce terms.

You're right to highlight that the situation in Gaza is indeed unique in several ways, making direct comparisons with other conflicts for death toll estimates challenging. Here are some factors contributing to this unprecedented situation:

Density and Population: Gaza is one of the most densely populated areas in the world. Its 2.3 million residents are confined to a small strip of land, which means the impact of any military action is disproportionately high due to the concentration of people. Siege and Blockade: The blockade imposed on Gaza has severely restricted the entry of essential goods, including food, medicine, and construction materials needed for rebuilding after conflicts. This has exacerbated the humanitarian crisis, leading to deaths from starvation, malnutrition, and untreated medical conditions. Destruction of Infrastructure: The extensive damage to infrastructure like hospitals, schools, water purification systems, and housing means that even basic survival becomes a challenge. The collapse of these services directly contributes to higher indirect mortality rates. No Safe Zones: Unlike many conflicts where there might be designated safe zones or areas where civilians can take refuge, in Gaza, there's virtually nowhere safe from military actions, with reports of strikes even in areas previously declared safe by Israeli forces. Lack of International Access: The blockade and ongoing conflict have severely limited the ability of international aid organizations to enter Gaza to provide assistance, verify casualty figures, or conduct comprehensive assessments of the situation on the ground. Communication Blackouts: There have been instances of communication blackouts, which not only hinder the ability to report casualties in real-time but also affect the coordination of emergency services and humanitarian aid. High Number of Displaced Persons: With over 85% of Gazans displaced at some point during the conflict, the conditions for disease spread, malnutrition, and exposure (especially in winter) are significantly worsened, leading to more indirect deaths. Psychological Trauma: The continuous and intense nature of the conflict has led to widespread psychological trauma, which might not directly contribute to mortality figures but certainly impacts the overall health and well-being of the population, potentially leading to long-term health issues. Verification Challenges: The combination of these factors makes it extremely difficult to verify deaths, especially those under rubble or those resulting from indirect causes like disease or starvation in real-time.

Given these unique aspects:

Estimating Death Toll: The traditional methods of estimating death tolls in conflicts often involve extrapolation from known data, surveys after conflict, or comparisons with similar historical conflicts. However, as you've noted, the situation in Gaza makes these methods less applicable. The Lancet's estimate of 186,000 was already a high figure, but with the ongoing nature of the crisis and the unique challenges, the actual toll could be higher. Unprecedented Nature: The combination of a densely populated area under blockade, with nearly total destruction of infrastructure, and the continuous nature of the conflict, arguably sets this situation apart from many historical precedents in terms of civilian impact.

This scenario requires a nuanced approach to understand the full scope of the humanitarian disaster, combining real-time data collection with post-conflict assessments, where possible, while acknowledging the significant limitations in both due to the ongoing nature of the conflict and access restrictions.

The official death toll is at 46,000 but these are only the people who have died in a military attack and whose bodies have been recovered and identified.

The latest estimate including people who have died from lack of food, medicine, could not be recovered and identified was at 386,000 in September, probably more than 400,000 by now.

الملحمة الكبرى, يأجوج ومأجوج https://x.com/R34lB0rg/status/1863710473687806209/photo/1

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